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Recent and future developments in earthquake ground motion estimation, London

Event organised by Society for Earthquake and Civil Engineering Dynamics

25 May 2016

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In the past decade the derivation and use of GMPEs within seismic hazard assessments have undergone significant improvements but there remain challenges in ground-motion prediction.

This presentation will provide an overview of recent developments which include: improvements in the estimation of the ground-motion variability and its components; a move away from simple regression-based curve fitting; attempts at using non-parametric techniques; the use of much more and better (e.g. in terms of site characterization) data; attempts at including additional independent parameters; a better appreciation of epistemic uncertainty; extensions of spectral models to shorter and longer structural periods using individually-processed records; a more careful consideration of how the models perform at small and large magnitudes; and making the models easier to use within seismic hazard assessments.

Finally, the presenter will provide his viewpoint on possible future directions in ground-motion estimation.

Non-members of the society are welcome to attend.
Please note that there is no charge to attend.

Seats are allocated on a first come, first served basis.
Tea and biscuits will be served from 5.30pm - 6pm.


For further information please contact Greg James, Associated Societies Executive, at the ICE on: +44 (0) 20 7665 2229020 7665 2229 or email: [email protected]

Visit the SECED website at

For more information please contact:

Greg James